Analysis of Oracle’s Stock Rally After Earnings ReportThe Chronicles of Oracle: A Profitable Odyssey in the Cloud Market

JJ Bounty

Shares of Oracle (ORCL) have shot up over +10% today following the cloud provider’s stellar performance in the fiscal first quarter, surpassing both revenue and earnings expectations.

As a standout tech stock in 2024, ORCL has surged by nearly +50% year-to-date, prompting investors to ponder whether they should ride the wave of the post-earnings surge.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Oracle’s Swift Sail Through Q1

A buoyant cloud infrastructure revenue, notably powered by high-performance AI applications utilizing RDMA from the Nvidia (NVDA) collaboration, was the primary impetus behind Oracle’s robust Q1 results.

In Q1, Oracle’s sales climbed 7% year over year to $13.3 billion, surpassing estimates of $13.21 billion. Furthermore, earnings per share of $1.39 outperformed expectations by 5%, marking a 17% surge from the prior year’s Q1 EPS of $1.19.

Additionally, Oracle unveiled a fresh partnership with Amazon (AMZN), enabling clients to access its databases via Amazon Work Shop (AWS).

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Charting Revenue Projections & Growth Trajectory

Looking ahead to the second quarter, Oracle anticipates 8%-10% revenue growth, aligning with the Zacks Consensus for $14.01 billion in sales or an 8% upsurge.

Per Zacks estimates, Oracle’s total sales are set to ascend by 9% in FY25 to $57.82 billion from $52.96 billion in FY24. Further, FY26 is projected to witness a supplementary 11% rise to $64.02 billion.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Notably, Oracle estimates an 11% uptick in annual earnings in FY25, with a subsequent 13% surge forecasted in FY26, reaching $6.98 per share.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Valuation in the Vast Ocean of Stocks

Currently trading around $155, Oracle’s stock boasts a forward earnings multiple of 22.6X, slightly below the S&P 500’s 23X and a favorable discount compared to the Zacks Computer-Software Industry average of 33.6X.

See also  GenAI Revolutionizing U.S. Work Culture - ISG Provider Lens Analysis The Dawn of GenAI: Transforming the Workplace Landscape in America

Moreover, Oracle’s valuation stands at a discount relative to the forward P/E ratios of its tech peers, with Nvidia and Amazon trading at 38X and 36.9X forward earnings respectively.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Finale

Following its Q2 announcement, Oracle’s stock is adorned with a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). With flourishing partnerships expanding Oracle’s cloud empire, now may indeed be an auspicious time to delve into ORCL as the company continues to validate its promising growth trajectory.