Emulating the trades of billionaires has long been a trusted strategy for retail investors seeking to bolster their portfolios. By monitoring the transactions disclosed in quarterly 13-F filings from affluent fund managers and other deep-pocketed figures, investors aim to mirror the techniques employed by seasoned market players who have amassed fortunes by picking winners amidst various market climates.
This approach, while promising, hinges on timing in the markets. It’s vital to note that these filings offer delayed insights into the maneuvers of top investors, not real-time updates on their capital deployments. Furthermore, even the most esteemed investors can stumble in their decisions – be it Warren Buffett’s substantial misstep with Dexter Shoe in the nineties, or Carl Icahn’s initial skepticism towards Apple (AAPL). Such misjudgments underscore that even the best investors showcase their personal portfolio pitfalls.
Keeping this in perspective, here are five prominent billionaire-endorsed stock choices from the second quarter, all endorsed with a consensus “Buy” rating by analysts on Wall Street. Let’s delve into the recent high-profile acquisitions of these entities.
Underrated Dynamo: Nike
Established in 1964, Nike (NKE) stands out as a globally renowned sportswear icon. The company principally engages in crafting, innovating, promoting, and retailing footwear, apparel, gear, accessories, and services. Operating through its Nike, Jordan, Converse, and Hurley brands, Nike serves a diverse clientele via a mix of wholesale, retail, and digital channels. Boasting a substantial market cap of $125.6 billion,
Nike’s stock witnessed a 23.2% decline YTD, offering a dividend yield of 1.74%.
During Q2, Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital Management Fund amassed a 3 million-share position in the company, propelling its stocks following the disclosure.
Analysts collectively rate NKE stock as a “Moderate Buy”, with a mean target price of $90.50 suggesting an upside potential of approximately 8.7% from present levels. Of the 30 analysts covering the stock, 14 advocate a “Strong Buy”, 1 recommends a “Moderate Buy”, 13 hold a “Hold” stance, and 2 propose a “Strong Sell”.
Technological Marvel: Arm Holdings
Headquartered in the UK, Arm Holdings (ARM) is a tech enterprise specializing in semiconductor intellectual property (IP) for mobile, embedded, and Internet of Things (IoT) devices. It grants manufacturers the right to integrate its architecture into their processors. Not involved in chip production, Arm generates revenue chiefly via licensing fees and royalties. With a current market cap of $138.6 billion,
ARM stock surged 76% YTD post its remarkable IPO in October 2023.
During the second quarter, billionaire investor Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management initiated a new stake in the company, acquiring around 150,000 ARM shares worth about $24.5 million.
Wall Street analysts rate ARM stock as a “Moderate Buy”, with a mean target price of $137.73, indicating a potential upside of about 4% from current levels. Of the 24 analysts covering the stock, 16 recommend a “Strong Buy” while 8 suggest a “Hold”.
Offshore Pioneer: Transocean
Established in 1954, Transocean (RIG) serves as a global provider of offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells. Managing a fleet of mobile offshore drilling units, including drillships and semisubmersibles, the company leases these to oil and gas exploration firms on a daily basis. Currently sporting a market cap of approximately $4.89 billion,
RIG stock plummeted nearly 18% YTD.
Q2 saw Elliott’s Singer augmenting his existing stake in Transocean stock, bolstering his holding from 9.75 million shares to 11.9 million.
Overall, analysts view RIG stock as a “Moderate Buy”, with a mean target price of $7.33, reflecting an upside potential of roughly 41% from current levels. Among the 14 analysts covering the stock, 7 favor a “Strong Buy”, 5 hold a “Hold” perspective, 1 suggests a “Moderate Sell”, and 1 advocates a “Strong Sell”.
Stalwart in Beauty: Ulta Beauty
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) stands as a prime retailer offering a diverse range of cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, hair care, and salon services. Operating both physical stores and an online platform, Ulta furnishes customers with seamless access to its extensive product array. With a market cap approximating $18 billion,
ULTA stock saw a nearly 23% decline YTD.
A Deeper Dive into Top Fund Managers’ Contrarian Stock Picks
While the smaller size of the investment suggests it may not be a direct pick of billionaire boss Warren Buffett himself, a closer look at the choices made by celebrated fund managers unveils intriguing opportunities in the stock market.
#5. Kinder Morgan: Finding Stability in Energy
Founded in 1997, Kinder Morgan (KMI) stands as a stalwart in the realm of midstream energy infrastructure. With ownership and operation of pipelines, terminals, and various energy assets, the company acts as a crucial transporter and storer of natural gas, crude oil, and refined products. Additionally, Kinder Morgan delves into pioneering initiatives such as carbon capture and sequestration, showcasing efforts towards sustainable energy practices. Currently, KMI boasts a market capitalization of $47.4 billion.
Despite the volatility prevalent in energy markets, KMI stock has displayed resilience, showcasing a 21.3% increase on a year-to-date basis. Moreover, investors are drawn to the stock’s promising dividend yield of 5.38%, offering a valuable income stream amidst market fluctuations.
Diving into investor sentiment surrounding Kinder Morgan, the esteemed Stanley Druckenmiller’s Duquesne Family Office made notable waves during Q2 by bolstering its KMI stake. The office increased its share count from 3.88 million to 6.75 million, signifying a vote of confidence in the company’s future prospects.
Analysts, on the other hand, echo this positivity with a prevailing consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” for KMI stock. The mean target price of $22.19 suggests a potential upside of approximately 4% from current levels. Among the cohort of 19 analysts covering the stock, 6 advocate a “Strong Buy,” 1 opts for a “Moderate Buy,” 11 maintain a “Hold,” and 1 leans towards a “Moderate Sell,” illustrating a balanced sentiment mix in the market.